(This post may contain disputed claims. We make no assertions as to the validity of the information presented by our Opinion Columnist. We are an opinion blog, not a traditional news outlet, and this post should be treated as such. Enjoy.)President Donald Trump is refusing to surrender. He really angered Democrats and supporters of Joe Biden on Monday night when he posted one analyst’s data that allegedly shows a rigged election. The Democrats do not want any Americans to see or believe it. Don’t miss this.
President Trump was on a rampage Monday night on Twitter. This was following a devastating hearing in Arizona on election fraud which lasted over 12 hours. Anyone watching it should be suspecting something is rotten in the Grand Canyon state.
Adding to the allegations of a rigged election is one analyst’s data that the president shared on Twitter. Immediately, Twitter issued this warning to the president’s post: “This claim about election fraud is disputed.”
Democrats had meltdowns on Trump’s Twitter feed.
Which brings us to Patrick Basham, who is a noted adjunct scholar and senior fellow of the Cato Institute and the founding Director (in 2006) of the Democracy Institute.
The Democracy Institute is one of the few polling organizations that got the 2016 presidential election right. They also predicted Trump would win re-election in a landslide. Basham still believes Trump won in a landslide.
“To say out-loud that you find the results of the 2020 presidential election odd is to invite derision,” Basham said. “You must be a crank or a conspiracy theorist. Mark me down as a crank, then. I am a pollster, and I find this election to be deeply puzzling.”
“I also think that the Trump campaign is still well within its rights to contest the tabulations,” he said. “Something very strange happened in America’s democracy in the early hours of Wednesday November 4 and the days that followed. It’s reasonable for a lot of Americans to want to find out exactly what.”
- President Trump received more votes than any previous incumbent seeking reelection. He got 11 million more votes than in 2016, the third largest rise in support ever for an incumbent. By way of comparison, President Obama was comfortably reelected in 2012 with 3.5 million fewer votes than he received in 2008.
Basham explains how Trump got 11 million more votes.
- Trump’s vote increased so much because, according to exit polls, he performed far better with many key demographic groups. Ninety-five percent of Republicans voted for him. He did extraordinarily well with rural male working-class whites.
- He earned the highest share of all minority votes for a Republican since 1960. Trump grew his support among black voters by 50 percent over 2016.
Basham then explains how Trump exceeded most pollsters’ expectations.
- Nationally, Joe Biden’s black support fell well below 90 percent, the level below which Democratic presidential candidates usually lose.
- Trump increased his share of the national Hispanic vote to 35 percent. With 60 percent or less of the national Hispanic vote, it is arithmetically impossible for a Democratic presidential candidate to win Florida, Arizona, Nevada, and New Mexico.
- Bellwether states swung further in Trump’s direction than in 2016. Florida, Ohio, and Iowa each defied America’s media polls with huge wins for Trump.
Basham tackles the key swing states data to demonstrate the glaring anomalies in certain cities where Biden strangely overperformed.
- Midwestern states Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin always swing in the same direction as Ohio and Iowa, their regional peers. Ohio likewise swings with Florida.
- Current tallies show that, outside of a few cities, the Rust Belt swung in Trump’s direction. Yet, Biden leads in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin because of an apparent avalanche of black votes in Detroit, Philadelphia, and Milwaukee.
Basham addresses an anomaly in the black vote for Biden.
- Biden’s ‘winning’ margin was derived almost entirely from such voters in these cities, as coincidentally his black vote spiked only in exactly the locations necessary to secure victory.
- Biden did not receive comparable levels of support among comparable demographic groups in comparable states, which is highly unusual for the presidential victor.
Biden overperformed in only a few key cities. The former vice-president somehow outdid Barack Obama in ways Basham notes below:
- We are told that Biden won more votes nationally than any presidential candidate in history. But he won a record low of 17 percent of counties; he only won 524 counties, as opposed to the 873 counties Obama won in 2008. Yet, Biden somehow outdid Obama in total votes.
Then, there are the down-ballot races which the GOP won overwhelmingly. There was a red wave on Election Night.
- Victorious presidential candidates, especially challengers, usually have down-ballot coattails; Biden did not. The Republicans held the Senate and enjoyed a ‘red wave’ in the House, where they gained a large number of seats while winning all 27 toss-up contests. Trump’s party did not lose a single state legislature and actually made gains at the state level.
However, we are to believe that Trump lost in a fair election. To believe Biden won, you have to also believe he pulled off feats we have never seen in the history of elections in the United States. In my opinion, anyone saying Joe Biden won the election is not dealing in reality.
Let’s stick with the facts and data which tell any reasonable American something really strange may have happened on Election Night. It’s time we do the proper investigations so we can assure all Americans this will never happen again.
